Insights / kr
035720
카카오KR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.67%
P05–P95 span
23.06%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-8.60%
Outer 90%
3/7(43%)
Middle 50%
2/7(29%)
Above median
1/7(14%)
Below median
6/7(86%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.00%P25: -2.58%P50: 0.67%P75: 5.55%P95: 15.05%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.