Insights / kr
035720
카카오KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.23%
P05–P95 span
22.86%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-2.48%
Outer 90%
9/9(100%)
Middle 50%
4/9(44%)
Above median
5/9(56%)
Below median
4/9(44%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.86%P25: -3.79%P50: -0.23%P75: 2.62%P95: 15.00%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.