Insights / kr
035720
카카오KR05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
19.59%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.61
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.81%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.59%P25: -3.40%P50: 0.00%P75: 1.55%P95: 6.00%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.