Insights / kr
035420
NAVERKR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.29%
P05–P95 span
29.74%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.41
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-21.40%
Outer 90%
3/6(50%)
Middle 50%
1/6(17%)
Above median
1/6(17%)
Below median
5/6(83%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.72%P25: -6.50%P50: -1.29%P75: 4.70%P95: 18.02%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 23.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.