Insights / kr
035420
NAVERKR05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.21%
P05–P95 span
12.71%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+28.98%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.48%P25: -2.59%P50: -1.21%P75: 0.67%P95: 5.23%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.