Insights / kr
035420
NAVERKR05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.18%
P05–P95 span
16.61%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+38.18%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.76%P25: -2.16%P50: -0.18%P75: 2.53%P95: 6.85%
Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 23.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.