Insights / kr
035420
NAVERKR04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.33%
P05–P95 span
21.65%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.57
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.68%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.64%P25: -2.55%P50: -0.33%P75: 1.44%P95: 11.01%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 5.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.