035250

강원랜드KR06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.38%
P05–P95 span
11.51%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+4.63%
Outer 90%
6/6(100%)
Middle 50%
2/6(33%)
Above median
3/6(50%)
Below median
3/6(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.70%P25: -0.62%P50: 1.38%P75: 3.88%P95: 6.81%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 24.3 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.