035250

강원랜드KR05/18/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.23%
P05–P95 span
12.68%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.79%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -2.75%P25: -0.52%P50: 1.23%P75: 3.81%P95: 9.92%

Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.3 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.