035250

강원랜드KR05/13/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.65%
P05–P95 span
17.86%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.21%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.61%P25: -3.66%P50: -0.65%P75: 1.83%P95: 9.25%

Computed at: 05/13/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.