Insights / kr
034730
SKKR06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.35%
P05–P95 span
18.24%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-11.27%
Outer 90%
0/4(0%)
Middle 50%
0/4(0%)
Above median
0/4(0%)
Below median
4/4(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.54%P25: -2.90%P50: 0.35%P75: 3.26%P95: 8.70%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.