Insights / kr
034020
두산에너빌리티KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.86%
P05–P95 span
21.58%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.57
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-17.50%
Outer 90%
4/8(50%)
Middle 50%
1/8(13%)
Above median
0/8(0%)
Below median
8/8(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.38%P25: -3.15%P50: -0.86%P75: 2.39%P95: 9.20%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 24.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.