Insights / kr
034020
두산에너빌리티KR05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.25%
P05–P95 span
11.11%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.15%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.08%P25: -2.77%P50: -1.25%P75: 0.67%P95: 4.03%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.