Insights / kr
033780
KT&GKR06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.94%
P05–P95 span
15.14%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+4.57%
Outer 90%
1/5(20%)
Middle 50%
1/5(20%)
Above median
4/5(80%)
Below median
1/5(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.42%P25: -5.15%P50: -1.94%P75: -0.22%P95: 1.72%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.