Insights / kr
032830
삼성생명KR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.53%
P05–P95 span
25.92%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.48
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-13.30%
Outer 90%
2/6(33%)
Middle 50%
1/6(17%)
Above median
2/6(33%)
Below median
4/6(67%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.20%P25: -4.39%P50: -0.53%P75: 2.60%P95: 17.72%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.