Insights / kr
032830
삼성생명KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.00%
P05–P95 span
32.55%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.35
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+3.84%
Outer 90%
5/9(56%)
Middle 50%
3/9(33%)
Above median
8/9(89%)
Below median
1/9(11%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.37%P25: -0.62%P50: 1.00%P75: 4.61%P95: 29.18%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.