Insights / kr
032830
삼성생명KR05/25/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.32%
P05–P95 span
25.82%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.48
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.27%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -14.65%P25: -3.32%P50: -1.32%P75: 1.44%P95: 11.17%
Computed at: 05/25/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.