Insights / kr
032830
삼성생명KR05/11/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+4.35%
P05–P95 span
22.43%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.55
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+15.66%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.13%P25: 0.92%P50: 4.35%P75: 7.30%P95: 11.30%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.