Insights / kr
030200
KTKR06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.80%
P05–P95 span
25.70%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.49
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+11.32%
Outer 90%
2/2(100%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
2/2(100%)
Below median
0/2(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.83%P25: -1.63%P50: 0.80%P75: 4.84%P95: 14.87%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 23.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.