Insights / kr
030200
KTKR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.03%
P05–P95 span
11.57%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+11.32%
Outer 90%
3/5(60%)
Middle 50%
3/5(60%)
Above median
5/5(100%)
Below median
0/5(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.12%P25: -3.10%P50: -1.03%P75: 0.55%P95: 3.45%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 26.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.