Insights / kr
030200
KTKR05/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.06%
P05–P95 span
11.64%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.11%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.89%P25: -3.15%P50: -1.06%P75: 0.74%P95: 4.75%
Computed at: 05/06/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.