030200

KTKR04/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.74%

P05–P95 span

26.36%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.47

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-4.82%

Outer 90%

10/10(100%)

Middle 50%

7/10(70%)

Above median

1/10(10%)

Below median

9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.73%P25: -3.63%P50: -0.74%P75: 4.72%P95: 20.63%

Computed at: 04/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.