Insights / kr
030000
제일기획KR06/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.74%
P05–P95 span
14.02%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+1
+6.51%
Outer 90%
0/1(0%)
Middle 50%
0/1(0%)
Above median
1/1(100%)
Below median
0/1(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.18%P25: -4.59%P50: -1.74%P75: 0.46%P95: 4.84%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.