Insights / kr
030000
제일기획KR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.70%
P05–P95 span
21.23%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+3.93%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
4/7(57%)
Above median
1/7(14%)
Below median
6/7(86%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.51%P25: -0.51%P50: 0.70%P75: 3.48%P95: 17.72%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.