Insights / kr
030000
제일기획KR05/11/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.68%
P05–P95 span
17.13%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.03%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.65%P25: -2.85%P50: -0.68%P75: 3.69%P95: 8.48%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.