Insights / kr
030000
제일기획KR04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.42%
P05–P95 span
17.35%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.86%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.83%P25: -2.65%P50: -0.42%P75: 2.41%P95: 9.52%
Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 26.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.