029780

삼성카드KR06/04/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-2.83%
P05–P95 span
14.97%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+0.53%
Outer 90%
3/4(75%)
Middle 50%
2/4(50%)
Above median
2/4(50%)
Below median
2/4(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.87%P25: -7.77%P50: -2.83%P75: -0.12%P95: 4.10%

Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.