Insights / kr
029780
삼성카드KR05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.18%
P05–P95 span
20.25%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.33%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.24%P25: -1.78%P50: 0.18%P75: 3.31%P95: 13.02%
Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.