Insights / kr
029780
삼성카드KR04/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.17%
P05–P95 span
16.55%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.46%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
10/10(100%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.98%P25: -3.33%P50: -0.17%P75: 1.88%P95: 5.57%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 12.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.