Insights / kr
028670
팬오션KR05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.53%
P05–P95 span
14.68%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-16.50%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.98%P25: -5.25%P50: -1.53%P75: 1.78%P95: 4.70%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.