Insights / kr
028670
팬오션KR05/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.12%
P05–P95 span
32.36%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.35
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.17%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.45%P25: -2.91%P50: -0.12%P75: 2.69%P95: 24.91%
Computed at: 05/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.