028260

삼성물산KR06/08/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.54%
P05–P95 span
16.56%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
-3.53%
Outer 90%
2/2(100%)
Middle 50%
1/2(50%)
Above median
0/2(0%)
Below median
2/2(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.42%P25: -3.72%P50: -1.54%P75: 0.74%P95: 8.14%

Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 21.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.