Insights / kr
028260
삼성물산KR05/25/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.56%
P05–P95 span
33.80%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.32
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-7.07%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -14.88%P25: -2.35%P50: -0.56%P75: 3.93%P95: 18.92%
Computed at: 05/25/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.