Insights / kr
028260
삼성물산KR05/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.86%
P05–P95 span
28.44%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.43
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.83%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.15%P25: -3.69%P50: -0.86%P75: 3.18%P95: 19.29%
Computed at: 05/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.