Insights / kr
028260
삼성물산KR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.57%
P05–P95 span
22.21%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.75%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.13%P25: 0.18%P50: 2.57%P75: 5.68%P95: 18.09%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 26.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.