Insights / kr
028260
삼성물산KR04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.64%
P05–P95 span
25.25%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.32%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.26%P25: -2.28%P50: 1.64%P75: 6.29%P95: 18.98%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 16.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.