Insights / kr
028050
삼성E&AKR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.77%
P05–P95 span
20.58%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.02%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.13%P25: -0.22%P50: 1.77%P75: 7.80%P95: 18.45%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 4.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.