Insights / kr
028050
삼성E&AKR05/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.55%
P05–P95 span
23.16%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.94%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -15.04%P25: -3.56%P50: -0.55%P75: 2.12%P95: 8.12%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.