Insights / kr
028050
삼성E&AKR04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.22%
P05–P95 span
16.24%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-7.82%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.47%P25: -1.07%P50: 0.22%P75: 1.76%P95: 10.77%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.