Insights / kr
028050
삼성E&AKR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.47%
P05–P95 span
13.66%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.13%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.03%P25: -3.58%P50: -0.47%P75: 1.42%P95: 4.63%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.