Insights / kr
028050
삼성E&AKR04/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.64%
P05–P95 span
11.01%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.23%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.57%P25: -2.69%P50: -0.64%P75: 1.93%P95: 4.45%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.