Insights / kr
028050
삼성E&AKR04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.52%
P05–P95 span
18.52%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.62%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.44%P25: -3.10%P50: 0.52%P75: 3.56%P95: 10.08%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 4.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.