026960

동서KR05/10/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.34%
P05–P95 span
16.97%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.40%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.38%P25: -2.29%P50: 0.34%P75: 2.97%P95: 9.59%

Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.