Insights / kr
026960
동서KR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.37%
P05–P95 span
33.11%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.34
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.42%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.83%P25: -1.74%P50: 2.37%P75: 5.50%P95: 29.28%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.