024110

기업은행KR05/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-3.75%
P05–P95 span
14.04%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.48%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.85%P25: -7.92%P50: -3.75%P75: -0.63%P95: 4.19%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.