Insights / kr
023530
롯데쇼핑KR06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.32%
P05–P95 span
20.72%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+20.10%
Outer 90%
0/2(0%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
2/2(100%)
Below median
0/2(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.81%P25: -3.14%P50: -0.32%P75: 5.44%P95: 13.91%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.