Insights / kr
023530
롯데쇼핑KR05/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.75%
P05–P95 span
11.71%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+31.00%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.54%P25: -0.69%P50: 0.75%P75: 2.93%P95: 9.17%
Computed at: 05/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.