Insights / kr
023530
롯데쇼핑KR05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.22%
P05–P95 span
11.55%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.88%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.55%P25: -1.99%P50: -0.22%P75: 1.83%P95: 7.00%
Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.