Insights / kr
023530
롯데쇼핑KR05/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.50%
P05–P95 span
25.82%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.48
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+23.28%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.75%P25: -4.97%P50: -0.50%P75: 2.65%P95: 12.07%
Computed at: 05/06/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.