Insights / kr
023530
롯데쇼핑KR04/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.39%
P05–P95 span
19.22%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+16.44%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.84%P25: -2.21%P50: 0.39%P75: 3.74%P95: 10.38%
Computed at: 04/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.